Hey all, so a few of the recent moves (and lack of moves) got me thinking about likely draft strategies. For a while I’ve been thinking the team might go WR in round 1 and S in round 2. But I’m starting to think they might go WR and WR back to back.
CB is a commonly cited need as well, but with plenty of young corners on the roster (including a part time corner in Mills) and with Slay now providing lock-down services on one side of the field, I think they’ll let CB2 be a competition between their internal options (and likely a later round rookie like Amik Robertson who they brought in for an interview).
Bringing in Will Parks, and Mills, and McLeod lessons the need at safety. The need is still there since Parks and Mills are on 1 year deals, but we don’t need to fill a safety ½/3 role immediately anymore, so a later round S might be more likely.
Grabbing Jatavis Brown lessens the need at linebacker as well. Once again, still a need, but not as immediate.
What hasn’t happened yet is a FA wideout, and there have been reports that the team want to stay with young options there to grow together and will likely avoid the big name receivers. So they might not land the speedsters Anderson or Perriman. So that creates a need for a speed receiver.
The trouble with getting a speed receiver in the draft is that its Ruggs…and then everyone else. Meanwhile, the team traded away some draft capital, which will make moving up for Ruggs harder.
Jefferson is constantly chosen as our pick at 21 in mock drafts – but he doesn’t fill the speed role. So what might happen is picking the speed guy in round 2 – KJ Hamler. He has drop issues, but we are only pounding the table for a speed guy as insurance for Desean. So hopefully our young speed receiver won’t be our starting speed receiver.
Essentially, what I’m seeing is needs being filled (S, LB, CB) while other needs are left open (WR) and simultaneously trade up options (for Ruggs) being reduced, which leads me to think that they’ll get their immediate contributor in Jefferson and their speed insurance plan in Hamler.
Obviously BPA still plays some part. If it’s possible to move up for Ruggs on the cheap, they’ll do it. If some unbelievable LB or S or CB is available at 21 (or 53), they’ll do it. But I think it’s possible that the plan going in might be Jefferson/Hamler based on all the other moves (and lack of moves) we’re seeing.
tl;dr – S, CB, LB are less of needs now. FA WRs are being ignored so far. Trading up is harder now. Team can fill the contributor WR role with Jefferson in RD1 and the speed insurance policy (for Desean) role with Hamler in RD2.